What is Outcome.xyz on Hyperliquid?
Outcome.xyz deploys event-based outcome markets through Hyperliquid's HIP-4 framework. Each market has defined outcomes, settlement rules, and an official resolution source that should be reviewed before trading.
Outcome.xyz HIP-4 Market Analytics Snapshot
Over the last 30 days, Outcome.xyz markets traded $12.23M in notional across 196,546 trades from 1,530 unique traders. Total fees were $8.04K. There are 108 tracked Outcome.xyz markets, including 53 currently active markets. Latest end-of-day open interest is $4.41M.
Data updated .
Leading Outcome.xyz markets by 30-day volume
| Market | Volume | Trades | Unique traders |
|---|---|---|---|
| template:priceTouch | $1.17M | 24,098 | 669 |
| template:priceTouch | $1.02M | 13,599 | 222 |
| template:priceTouch | $672.03K | 15,966 | 209 |
| template:priceTouch | $657.90K | 4,607 | 179 |
| template:priceTouch | $603.74K | 9,166 | 226 |
| template:priceTouch | $600.17K | 12,908 | 244 |
| template:policyRateNoChange | $566.85K | 10,323 | 344 |
| template:priceTouch | $521.97K | 11,419 | 187 |
| template:priceTouch | $489.91K | 9,381 | 241 |
| template:binaryPrice | $477.20K | 10,491 | 218 |
| template:priceTouch | $442.47K | 5,012 | 131 |
| template:policyRateDecrease | $289.18K | 2,299 | 80 |
| template:binaryPrice | $283.35K | 3,299 | 148 |
| template:binaryPrice | $217.87K | 3,561 | 86 |
| template:policyRateIncrease | $174.23K | 4,193 | 189 |
| template:binaryPrice | $165.22K | 2,828 | 74 |
| template:binaryPrice | $152.72K | 2,161 | 94 |
| template:binaryPrice | $151.10K | 940 | 126 |
| template:binaryPrice | $150.67K | 3,121 | 65 |
| template:priceTouch | $141.05K | 1,938 | 158 |
| template:binaryPrice | $121.66K | 612 | 52 |
| template:binaryPrice | $119.52K | 751 | 75 |
| template:binaryPrice | $112.62K | 1,104 | 103 |
| template:binaryPrice | $105.74K | 450 | 73 |
| template:binaryPrice | $101.31K | 1,393 | 64 |
Market metadata is attributed to Outcome.xyz using the HIP-4 venue and deployer fields. Visit Outcome.xyz or Outcome on X. View the Outcome.xyz trader leaderboard.
FAQs
Outcome.xyz market questions
Understand how Outcome.xyz HIP-4 market activity, open interest, venue attribution, and settlement rules are represented in the dashboard.
What Outcome.xyz market data does this page track?
The dashboard tracks Outcome.xyz trading volume, open interest, fees, trade count, unique traders, and activity by market and outcome token across selectable timeframes.
Which Outcome.xyz markets are currently active?
The Active view uses current HIP-4 metadata and each market's event timing to show Outcome.xyz markets that remain available and unresolved. The All view also includes archived or settled markets.
Does this page include every HIP-4 market?
No. This page includes only markets attributed to the Outcome.xyz venue or deployer. The Total HIP-4 dashboard includes Outcome.xyz alongside other HIP-4 markets.
How should an Outcome.xyz market price be interpreted?
A price reflects the market's traded valuation of an outcome under its contract rules. It can resemble an implied probability, but liquidity, fees, and settlement mechanics can prevent a one-to-one probability interpretation.
What are the main risks in Outcome.xyz markets?
Key risks include misreading resolution rules, thin liquidity, price gaps, changing event information, and uncertainty about the specified settlement source.